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They return four starters along the offensive line, headlined by future top-10 pick Olu Fashanu. The Nittany Lions won 11 games last season, including a convincing Rose Bowl victory over Utah. Two have caught my eye for a few reasons. That leaves us with nine teams entering 2023 with 10-plus win momentum and lucrative odds. Of the remaining 16 teams, five have short odds (sub 10/1) - including Georgia, Alabama, Ohio State, USC and Michigan.
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Though 24 teams won 10-plus games in 2022, the field of contenders is actually much smaller.Įight of those 24 teams came from the Group of 5, and only one G5 team has cracked the playoffs in nine seasons (Cincinnati in 2021).
Get the latest College Football National Championship winner odds. Franklins sunday tickey how to#
Read our expert’s guide on how to bet on College Football. Check out the best College Football betting sites. What does that mean for this season? Betting on College Football? Winning double-digit games in the previous season is nearly a prerequisite for inclusion. What this tells us is that though there is room for the occasional turnaround story, CFP slots are routinely filled by teams that have already established themselves as contenders. And finally, we saw a wild turnaround from TCU last season (5-7 to the national title game). Georgia broke through in Kirby Smart’s second season in Athens, transforming an 8-5 team into a national runner-up. Washington made a massive jump from 7-6 to a 12-1 regular season in Year 3 of Chris Petersen. Oklahoma went from 8-5 to the 4-seed in 2015. In fact, just four teams have made the CFP without posting double-digit wins in the previous season (excluding 2020). The second trend that we can glean from nearly a decade’s worth of committee selections is that a team’s previous-season success is a key indicator.Įxcluding COVID-19 season data, the average CFP team posted a record of 11.5-2.1 the year before earning a spot in the field. Last season, Georgia became the first repeat national champion in the CFP era, but the Bulldogs opened their 2022 campaign third in the preseason pecking order, behind Ohio State and Alabama. 
In the CFP era, only one preseason favorite has won the national championship: Alabama at +250 in 2017. With nine seasons’ worth of data to examine, a couple of trends stand out. The College Football Playoff’s four-team format is entering its final season. Get the free Action Network app for expert picks, live odds, bet tracking and more.
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